Holding the line

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Investment

  • Singaporeʼs investment sales activity strengthened in 4Q 2025 to S$13.7 billion, supported by easing interest rates and currency stability. Buyers showed confidence with increased interest across Government Land Sales, retail, office and industrial segments.

Office

  • Office rents in the Central Region grew 0.4% QoQ in 4Q 2025 as island-wide occupancy rose to 95.1%, supported by 236,500 sq ft of net absorption. CBD shadow space tightened by 66,000 sq ft, even as total available shadow space increased to 432,000 sq ft NLA island-wide.

Industrial

  • Industrial property prices rose 1.4% QoQ in 4Q 2025, led by multiple-user factories, while overall occupancy dipped to 88.7% due to new completions. The JTC all-industrial rental index increased by 0.5% QoQ, led by warehouses (+1.1% QoQ) and a rebound in business park rents (+0.4% QoQ).

Retail

  • International visitor arrivals eased to 4.0 million in 4Q 2025, full year arrivals remained resilient at 16.9 million, with STB projecting further growth in 2026. Singaporeʼs retail market remained stable, with island-wide occupancy edging up to 93.7%, supported by resilient demand in Fringe/Suburban Areas and absorption of completed spaces in the city.

Residential

  • Overall prices in 4Q 2025 grew at a slower pace of 0.6% on the back of fewer project launches. For the whole of 2025, prices rose by 3.3%. Total sales hit a 4-year high in 2025 with 26,492 transactions. Rental prices dipped modestly while rental volume dipped by 27.4% to 19,771 in 4Q 2025 from 27,223 units in the preceding quarter.

 

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Calm waters, selective tailwinds

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Investment

  • Singapore’s investment sales surged 82.5% QoQ to S$10.1 billion in 3Q 2025, largely driven by Government Land Sales (GLS) and developers’ preference for well-located sites replete with amenities.

Office

  • Office rents in the Central Region were stable in 3Q 2025, with the URA rental index easing 0.1 per cent QoQ and CBD Grade A rents staying unchanged at S$9.80 psf per month. Island-wide occupancy declined marginally by 0.2 percentage points to 94.8 per cent, led by negative absorption in decentralised areas.

Industrial

  • Industrial property prices rose 0.6% QoQ in 3Q 2025, led by single-user factories, slower than the 1.4% QoQ growth in 2Q 2025. Overall occupancy rose to 0.3 percentage points to 89.1%, driven by warehouse demand. All industrial property rents grew 0.5% QoQ in 3Q 2025, moderating from the 0.7% QoQ recorded in 2Q 2025.

Retail

  • Singapore welcomed 4.5 million international visitors in 3Q 2025 driven by holidays and MICE events. Retail rents are expected to rise modestly in the near term. Leasing activity is likely to focus on relocations, downsizing, and space optimisation as retailers manage rising costs and consumer preferences.

Residential

  • Private home prices rose 0.9% QoQ in 3Q 2025, led by increases in the landed and non-landed CCR and OCR segments. Transaction volumes grew 44.4% QoQ to 7,404 units on higher primary sales, while rents edged up 1.2% QoQ amid steady leasing activity.

 

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Calm before the rising swell

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Investment

  • Singapore’s investment sales activity softened in 2Q 2025, reaching S$5.5 billion, primarily due to pricing mismatch and prevailing cautious market sentiment among investors.
  • Further easing of interest rates is expected to fuel investor confidence. Given that total investment sales reached $11.2 billion in 1H 2025, the market is projected to achieve total investment sales amounting to between S$20 and S$25 billion for the full year.

Office

  • Office rents in the central region remained stable in 1H 2025, as the 0.3% QoQ decrease in 2Q 2025 was offset by the 0.3% gain in 1Q 2025. Shadow space increased by 12.5% QoQ to 420,000 sq ft.
  • The limited supply pipeline for the rest of 2025 until 2027 will favour CBD premium and Grade A office spaces which are expected to experience modest rental growth in 2025.

Industrial

  • Industrial property prices rose 1.4% QoQ in 2Q 2025, led by multiple-user factories. Overall occupancy dipped slightly to 88.8% due to an increase in supply.
  • The supply pipeline of industrial space for the rest of 2025 is expected to reach approximately 3.0 million sq ft (GFA). The new supply is likely to add downward pressure on the overall rental rates for the rest of 2025.

Retail

  • In 2Q 2025, rental rates across all segments showed steady growth, with prime first-storey rents on Orchard/Scotts Road increase by 0.5% to S$41.60 per sq ft, driven by limited supply and steady tourism activity. Meanwhile, islandwide retail occupancy rate stood at 92.9% during the quarter, slightly down from 93.2% in 1Q 2025.
  • Retail rents is expected to rise modestly in the near term. Rising business costs and tighter manpower regulations may keep retailers cautious, with leasing activity mainly focused on relocations or downsizing, instead of new store openings.

Residential

  • Private home prices rose 1% QoQ in 2Q 2025, driven by landed homes and non-landed CCR and OCR segments. Transaction volume fell 29.4% due to a decline in new project launches during the quarter. Meanwhile, rental market remained stable with a 0.8% QoQ increase.
  • Prices is expected to rise by 3-5% for the whole of 2025, with around 21,000 to 24,000 units being transacted.

 

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Approaching cross-currents

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Investment

Performance

  • Singapore’s investment sales hit S$5.8 billion in 1Q 2025, with landmark deals signalling strong market appetite. With Government Land Sales momentum and a S$20-24 billion forecast, investors are poised to seize prime opportunities in a thriving market.
  • Six Government Land Sales (GLS) sites were awarded during the quarter, significantly contributing S$3.6 billion to total investment sales. Developers have regained confidence in the market, buoyed by strong take-up rates at recent new launches. However, they remain measured in their land acquisition strategies, mindful of rising development costs and lingering economic uncertainties.

Outlook

  • Total investment sales in Singapore’s real estate market is projected to reach S$20-24 billion in 2025, driven by sustained demand and strategic opportunities. However, elevated global interest rates and stabilised, yet high borrowing costs in Singapore will continue to influence market dynamics. Rising construction and labour costs are expected to further pressure developers’ margins, reinforcing their cautious approach to land acquisitions.
  • Government Land Sales will remain a pivotal driver, with upcoming tenders for well-located residential and mixed-use sites anticipated to attract competitive bids, bolstering market activity.

Office

Performance

  • Singapore’s office rents edged up 0.3% QoQ, marking a reversal from two consecutive quarters of decline. Islandwide office occupancy rates dipped 0.3 percentage points to 94.5% in 1Q 2025.
  • In the CBD, net absorption reached a healthy 214,000 sq ft, on the back of the 192,000 sq ft of office space from Keppel South Central, as occupiers continued to show a clear preference for premium and Grade A office spaces. In the non-CBD markets, net absorption also strengthened, rising by 146,000 sq ft, led by strong take-up in the City Hall/Bugis area and Bras Basah, which recorded 90,000 sq ft and 41,000 sq ft, respectively.
  • Shadow space saw its first decline after four quarters of consecutive increase. The decrease in shadow space is attributed to the take up of CBD area office spaces, underscoring a preference for corporate offices in central locations.

Outlook

  • In 2025, rental growth for CBD premium and Grade A office spaces is expected to see a modest increase, supported by a limited new supply pipeline — with only Shaw Tower and Newport Tower anticipated to achieve TOP by late 2025.

Industrial

Performance

  • Singapore’s industrial property prices rose 1.5% QoQ in 1Q 2025, driven by a 1.9% increase in multiple-user factory prices. Occupancy held steady at 89.0% island-wide.
  • Rental rates for the warehouse/logistics segment rose 0.3% to S$1.88 per sq ft, while the multiple-user factories and central region Business Parks and Hi-tech industrial spaces remain unchanged.

Outlook

  • About 6.4 million sq ft of new industrial space is expected over the next three quarters, with warehouses, multiple-user factories, and business parks making up 32%, 29% and 10% of the supply respectively.

Retail

Performance

  • Singapore’s retail sector kicked off 2025 steadily, with tourist arrivals holding firm at 4.3 million—signalling a strong return to pre-pandemic levels. Despite the slight dip in occupancies, resilient suburban demand and rising prime rents reflect a market bracing for growth.
  • Singapore’s island-wide retail occupancy rate fell to 93.2% from 93.8% in 4Q 2024, with central area retail spaces seeing the most significant declines, as leasing demand turned more selective amid shifting consumer preference within the Food and Beverage sector.

Outlook

  • While the retail sector continues to grapple with inflation-driven rises in construction, labour, and operating costs—factors that may lead to upward pressure on rents and challenge cost-sensitive retailers—the outlook remains promising.
  • A robust line-up of MICE events and concerts is set to fuel the tourism rebound, which is expected to drive stronger footfall and bolster demand for prime retail spaces.

Residential

Performance

  • Singapore’s residential property prices rose 0.8% QoQ in 1Q 2025, led by a 1.0% increase in non-landed home prices, with the non-landed RCR posting the strongest growth at 1.7%.
  • In the rental market, prices edged up 0.4%, supported by stable demand and rising transaction volumes.
  • Transaction volume was recorded at 7,261 units in 1Q 2025, a 1.3% QoQ decrease from the 7,433 units in 4Q 2024.

Outlook

  • With the residential market largely driven by domestic purchasers, buyer sentiment is expected to remain favourable in 2025. The residential property price index is anticipated to moderate, as overall housing supply rises with the ramp-up of Government Land Sales — a trend that should help support market stability and sustain healthy transaction activity.

 

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Quiet momentum

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Landed homes

  • The luxury landed home segment saw 36 transactions in 2H 2024, a decline from 43 units in 1H 2024. Despite the lower sales volume, total transaction value rose to S$1.02 billion, up from S$0.85 billion 1H 2024. For the full year, 79 luxury landed homes changed hands, with a combined transaction value of S$1.87 billion.
  • Luxury detached houses continued to be the key driver of transactions, contributing approximately 75.0% of total landed luxury home transactions in 2H 2024. Meanwhile, luxury semi-detached and terrace houses fell to 9 transactions in 2H 2024, down from 11 in 1H 2024.
  • A total of 18 GCBs were sold in 2H 2024, contributing S$780.6 million to the luxury landed housing home market. For the whole of 2024, GCBs sales reached S$1.14 billion, a 126.6% increase from the S$0.50 billion recorded in 2023. Investor confidence is expected to strengthen, particularly in the GCB market. Transaction volumes are likely to increase, bringing upward pressure on prices on luxury landed properties.

Non-landed homes

  • The non-landed luxury home segment recorded 16 transactions in 2H 2024, a slight dip from 17 units in 1H 2024. However, total transaction value declined more significantly, falling 19.0% HoH to S$216.9 million in 2H 2024, down from S$267.6 million in 1H 2024.
  • The recent interest in primary sales suggests an upward shift in market pricing. While transaction volume is likely to remain muted, new Singapore Permanent Residents (SPRs) could provide some uptick in activity.

Foreign demand

  • Total foreign demand for luxury homes continued its downward trend in 2H 2024, with total transaction quantum sliding from S$171.7 million in 1H 2024 to S$166.6 million. This also results in a drop in the average transaction quantum per unit, falling to S$15.1 million in 2H 2024 from S$17.2 million in 1H 2024. Despite the lower transaction value, foreign demand by volume showed an uptick to 11 units in 2H 2024 from the 10 units in 1H 2024.
  • It has also been observed that there continues to be a clear preference for homes in prime locations among foreign buyers, particularly those near key lifestyle and retail hubs.
  • Non-permanent resident (NPR) remained largely absent from the luxury home market in Singapore, with only 2 purchases recorded in 2H 2024. For the full year of 2024, NPRs accounted for just 3 luxury home purchases, highlighting the high barriers set by the ABSD on luxury homes for this buyer segment.

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This will be the final issue of the Prestige Homes report, as we evolve our market insights offerings following the merger announcement of ETC and OrangeTee. We appreciate your support.

A delicate balance

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Investment

  • Singapore’s investment sales witnessed a dip in 4Q 2024 to S$6.5 billion. Nonetheless, total sales rose 28.7% YoY to S$25.2 billion for 2024 compared to 2023.

Office

  • Singapore’s office market experienced an increase in overall occupancy to 95.0% in 4Q 2024, driven by demand in the CBD. Both Premium and Grade A rents in the CBD remained stable for 2024.

Industrial

Singapore’s industrial property index saw a 3.5% YoY growth in 2024. Island-wide occupancy rates held steady at 89.0% in 4Q 2024, with warehouse rising to 91.5% and Business Parks declining to 77.9%. Warehouse rents grew 1.0% QoQ, while Business Park rents fell 1.0% QoQ.

Retail

  • Singapore’s retail sector remains resilient, bolstered by the recovery of tourism, high occupancy rates, and steady leasing demand. Singapore’s retail sector remains a prime destination for global brands and investors.

Residential

  • Singapore’s residential market saw a rise in transaction volume to 21,950 units in 2024, driven by strong primary sales in 4Q 2024. Rental rates fell 1.9% YoY, but transaction volume grew 4.7% YoY, indicating market stabilisation.

 

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Momentum building

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INVESTMENT

Performance

  • Investment sales reached S$8.2 billion in 3Q 2024, fuelled by strong developer activity in Government Land Sales and key acquisitions by REITs.

Outlook

  • The GLS market is expected to maintain steady activity through the rest of the year. Investors will remain focused on identifying opportunities as a part of their investment strategies.

OFFICE

Performance

  • Singapore’s central region office rental index declined marginally by 0.5% QoQ, while overall occupancy rates dipped slightly to 94.5%.

Outlook

  • The recent completion of new developments is expected to create new opportunities for tenants to explore occupancy strategies. However, without any significant demand drivers, rental rates are expected to remain stable throughout the year.

INDUSTRIAL

Performance

  • Industrial property prices rose 0.5% QoQ in 3Q 2024, led be multi-user factories. Overall occupancy rates remain steady at 89.0%.

Outlook

  • Prices and rental rates for multi-user factories are expected to rise as electronics and semiconductor manufacturing output improves. Rental rates in the business parks and hi-tech parks segment are anticipated to face additional pressure from elevated vacancy rates in suburban areas, particularly as the PDD approaches completion in 2025.

RETAIL

Performance

  • Island-wise occupancy rate increased to 93.5% in 3Q 2024. Rental rates in Orchard/Scotts Road and Fringe/Suburban areas saw a 0.3% rise QoQ, while Other City Areas remained stable.

Outlook

  • Prime retail rents are expected to experience sustained growth, due to limited pipeline of upcoming retail supply, steady domestic demand and a rise in international visitor arrivals.

RESIDENTIAL

Performance

  • Residential property price index fell 0.7% QoQ, attributed by the landed segment which witnessed a 3.4% decline QoQ. Rental rates found its footing, rising 0.8% after declining for three consecutive quarters.

Outlook

  • For 4Q 2024, we expect primary sales transactions to rise, attributed to positive take-up rates in several new launch projects at record price levels. Residential rental rates are expected remain stable as landlords and tenants bridge pricing expectations.

 

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Gaining Momentum

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Landed homes

  • Landed luxury home transaction volume relatively remained unchanged at 43 units transacted in 1H 2024, from 42 units in 2H 2023. Total transaction quantum increased 14.7% to S$803.8 million on higher quantum per transaction in the segment.
  • Luxury detached houses recorded 32 of the 43 transactions in 1H 2024, increasing 39.1% from the 23 transactions in 2H 2023. Luxury semi-detached and terrace houses, on the other hand, saw a decline to 11 units and recorded S$124.1 million in 1H 2023.
  • Good Class Bungalows (GCB) contributed 52.9% to the total detached house quantum 1H 2024. The price per sq ft for these GCB sites ranged from S$1,050 to S$2,990, and the average per-sq-ft price of S$2,138 achieved in 1H 2024 marks the highest average price per sq ft recorded since 1H 2020.

Non-landed homes

  • Average price of luxury non-landed homes increased in 1H 2024, amid a lower transaction volume of 16 units, down from 18 in 2H 2023. Total sale quantum for luxury non-landed stood at S$249.6 million in 1H 2024.
  • In 1H 2024, one penthouse unit from The Skywaters Residences and two adjacent units from The Ritz-Carlton Residences were transacted above S$5,000 per sq ft. The penthouse unit at The Skywater Residences was sold for S$47.3 million, or S$6,100 per sq ft. Meanwhile, over in the secondary sales market, the two adjacent Ritz-Carlton units changed hands at S$16.5 million each, translating to S$5,367 per sq ft. While it is atypical for secondary sales to reach the high of S$5,000 per sq ft, there were 11 of such transactions from 2021 to date.

Foreign demand

  • Total foreign demand quantum in 1H 2024 fell to S$171.7 million from S$196.0 million in 2H 2023. Foreign demand for luxury homes has continued to decrease, influenced by the implementation of the Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) for foreign purchasers. The transaction volume declined to 10 units in the first half of 2024, compared to 13 units in the second half of 2023.
  • Of the 10 units transacted, there was only a sole transaction where the buyer was a non-permanent resident (NPR). The remaining 9 units were purchased by Singapore permanent residents (SPRs). This could suggest that the ABSD regulation in April 2023 has successfully deterred NPRs from entering the luxury home market in Singapore, or that they are seeking to become SPRs before making their investment decisions.

 

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Rekindling Growth

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INVESTMENT

Performance

  • Investment sales reached S$6.3 billion in 2Q 2024, spurred by government land transactions and a few successful collective sales. Amid ongoing uncertainties, developers remain cautious but retain strong interest in prime locations.

Outlook

  • Investment sales are expected to moderate as developers navigate these challenges. While the introduction of the Long Stay Serviced Apartment (SA II) and the substantial land supply anticipated in the latter half of 2024 may spur interest, the overall investment sentiment will likely remain cautious. The pace of investment growth may be tempered, with developers expecting to focus on projects with clear viability and reduced risks.

OFFICE

Performance

  • Singapore’s office market in 1H 2024 saw stable rental rates despite a 1.0% dip in occupancy rates to 94.8%. This was on the back of new CBD supply arising from the partial completion of IOI Central Boulevard Towers.

Outlook

  • Islandwide occupancy rates are expected to be under pressure in 2024 with three major office projects targeted for completion in 2H 2024. Grade A rental rates in the CBD are anticipated to remain stable for the remainder of 2024.

INDUSTRIAL

Performance

  • Singapore’s industrial market witnessed positive performance in 1H 2024 as manufacturing expanded, while overall industrial occupancy rose to 89.0%. Divergence in rental performances widened between centrally located and suburban business parks.

Outlook

  • The electronics manufacturing sector’s positive trend is expected to continue into 2H 2024, driven by support for AI advancements in the semiconductor segment. Multiuser factories and warehouse/logistics sectors are likely to benefit from the sustained growth in manufacturing sector, thus supporting rental rates in these segments. Conversely, rental rates for business parks and hitech industrial spaces may face pressure due to high vacancies with limited qualifying occupiers for these segments.

RETAIL

Performance

  • In 2Q 2024, prime first-storey rental rates along Orchard/Scotts Road increased by 0.4%, reaching S$41.00 per sq ft. This rise in rental rates was driven by gradual rebound in tourism, with increasing visitor arrivals and tourism receipts. The limited supply of prime retail spaces is expected to spur strong interest and continued rental growth. Rental rates in Fringe/Suburban Areas remained stable at S$34.00 per sq ft, while Other City Areas held steady at S$19.35 per sq ft.

Outlook

  • Given the expected growth in visitor arrivals and a limited supply pipeline of retail projects in the near term, rents and occupancy rates are expected to remain robust throughout 2024.

RESIDENTIAL

Performance

  • Residential property prices saw moderate growth of 2.3% in 1H 2024. A ripple effect in the CCR and RCR drove growth in property prices. Rental rates faced pressure with the expected new supply and the shift in focus towards serviced apartments.

Outlook

  • For 2H 2024, residential prices are anticipated to increase moderately. As the market adjusts and establishes new price levels, price growths are expected to stabilize following the recent upward shift caused by the ripple effect. Rents are expected to continue being under pressure, given around 7,000 units due for completion in 2H 2024 and 2025. The increasing interest in serviced apartments may add further pressure onto rents in the market.

 

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Cautious optimism as market prepares for growth

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INVESTMENT

Performance

  • Investment sales transaction in 1Q 2024 recorded a lower total quantum of S$4.2 billion. Government Land Sales (GLS), as a share of total investment sales, fell from 52.3% to 32.1% or in absolute terms, from S$2.9 billion to S$1.3 billion. This decline was due to smaller-size transactions and the rejection of the sole bid for Marina Gardens Crescent GLS site.
  • In the private sector, S$2.8 billion was recorded for 1Q 2024, with a shift from office to retail and hospitality sectors. This shift may be due to investors changing their focus towards alternate asset classes amid the current higher interest rate environment.

Outlook

  • For the rest of 2024, we expect the investment sales market to continue be bolstered by GLS sales and higher yield asset classes from the retail or hospitality sectors. Investment sales volume and transaction quantum could pick up, given that economic activities are showing signs of recovery and interest rates cuts are on the horizon.

OFFICE

Performance

  • Singapore’s office leasing market in 1Q 2024 exhibited resilience in the Central Business District (CBD). Shadow spaces declined from approximately 332,000 sq ft in 4Q 2023 to approximately 245,000 sq ft in 1Q 2024. The amount of shadow space is expected to continue decreasing, given that many of such leases are due to expire by 2024/2025. In addition, office rents in the first quarter across all micro-markets remained unchanged QoQ, due to numerous lease renewals and corporates right-sizing their office spaces.

Outlook

  • The upcoming Labrador Towers and Paya Lebar Green are poised to alleviate the office space supply, adding approximately 913,000 sq ft of office space by 4Q 2024. This could lead to a slight decline in occupancy rates islandwide for 2024, potentially applying pressure on rental rates. However, there may be increased leasing activity as corporations gravitate towards green and Grade A office spaces.

INDUSTRIAL

Performance

  • In 1Q 2024, islandwide occupancy rates dipped to 88.7%, with business parks experiencing its 8th consecutive quarter of decline to 78%. Overall rental indices climbed 1.7% QoQ in 1Q 2024, albeit with a 0.2% decline in price index for all industrial spaces.

Outlook

  • The surge in artificial intelligence interest is expected to bolster semiconductor demand, supporting stable factory prices and rental rates for 2024. However, the Business Park sector may see higher vacancy rates with an expected GFA completion of approximately 3.7 million sq ft in 2H 2024, notably the Punggol Digital District, which could attract tech tenants and potentially support suburban business park rental rates.

RETAIL

Performance

  • Retail rents modestly grew in 1Q 2024. Prime first-storey rates rose 0.7% QoQ to S$40.85 psf in Orchard/Scotts Road and S$34.00 psf in Fringe/Suburban Areas. In the Other City Area micro-market, rates increased 0.3% QoQ to S$19.35 psf.

Outlook

  • Rental growth across all micro-markets is anticipated for the rest of 2024 due to high occupancy rates and limited supply in the pipeline for the next three years.

RESIDENTIAL

Performance

  • The overall property price index saw 1.4% QoQ growth in 1Q 2024, a moderation from the 2.8% growth in 4Q 2023. Transaction volume dipped slightly to 4,145 units in 1Q 2024, down from 4,295 units in 4Q 2023, representing a 3.5% decline. Foreign investment remained subdued, with foreign buyers constituting only 1.0% of total residential units in 1Q 2024.

Outlook

  • The property market is poised for moderate growth, supported by sustained demand for new launches and anticipated supply expansions. However, challenges loom in the rental sector due to an influx of completed projects, potentially tempering rental growth throughout the year.

 

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